There are.. some, ok alot, i mean ALOT of people predicting that Miguel Angel Cotto is going to make devastating if not quick work of Sugar Shane this weekend. Not erybody is hopping on the bandwagon, but I think it's kind of funny that eryone is saying that all these experts and fans are picking Sugar Shane, yet I could only find one article to say as much in agreement. And Michael Marley had to preface his article that his pick is for 'sentimental reasons' amongst others.

I don't normally agree with Marley on alot of his commentary (esp regarding MP fights), but it made me start to wonder.. Do I really think Shane is going to win this fight? or am i thinking so for sentimental reasons? I've counted against heart so many times this past year, and heart has come back with a hard right hook to my face every single time. Should I change up my pattern then?

Odds say Cotto is going to win, in about 10 rounds, from early stopapge. I think that's the popular consensus. Cotto last handed Zab Judah's ass back to him in June of this year, and Mosley hasn't really had a real tough fight against a quality opponent in a while (and he hasn't fought since March of this year either).

Cotto has the power, Mosley has the speed. But one thing that I haven't really seen anywhere is anyone talking about Shane's hitting power. He doesn't hit as hard as Cotto does, but he's also moving down to 147 for the fight. Will he end up losing power due to the weight loss or is he going to bring it down to the lower weight class for a previously non-mentioned advantage? (Jack Mosley certainly thinks so) A couple hard hits from Mosley could do some damage as Cotto isn't proven to have that strong of a chin, though it has improved since he fought Ricardo Torres.

I don't know if its clouded judgement, but I really think Sugar Shane is going to win this fight. I think there will be times when Cotto has a chance to finish the fight early, but I see Shane being determined enough (Floyd Mayweather in the future = determination) to go the distance and take this by unanimous decision.

-120? Sure.

If Cotto wins, at least it will make my NFL Sunday more interesting.

Labels: boxing, miguel cotto, nfl, shane mosley

Posted by eva on 11.09.2007 at 11:43 AM | Permalink